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新冠疫情驅(qū)動(dòng)下的10種消費(fèi)新趨勢(shì)

雖然許多消費(fèi)者行為可能會(huì)回歸疫情前,但其中一些變化將持續(xù)下去。

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遠(yuǎn)程工作、Zoom,是的,還有運(yùn)動(dòng)褲的熱潮將持續(xù)下去。圖片來(lái)源:GettyImages

在持續(xù)不斷的疫情中,閉門(mén)不出的美國(guó)人無(wú)法出游或參加日常社交活動(dòng),他們找到了不同的方法來(lái)擴(kuò)大支出、發(fā)泄精力。

全國(guó)有數(shù)以百萬(wàn)計(jì)的人孤單地想給無(wú)聊的孩子們找個(gè)玩伴,領(lǐng)養(yǎng)的寵物創(chuàng)下了歷史紀(jì)錄。另外一些人覺(jué)得,他們不妨趁機(jī)搞搞家裝,或者在地下室建個(gè)新的家庭辦公室。還有一些人因?yàn)橛霸宏P(guān)門(mén)而加大影音投資,把流媒體搬進(jìn)了家,或者建起了專(zhuān)屬家庭健身房。很多購(gòu)物者發(fā)現(xiàn),他們愛(ài)上了網(wǎng)上下單再去商店取貨而不需要進(jìn)店,也愛(ài)上了付款時(shí)只用手機(jī)而無(wú)需觸摸其他東西。

AlixPartners的一位董事總經(jīng)理索尼婭·拉平斯基向《財(cái)富》雜志表示:“消費(fèi)者的購(gòu)物方式已經(jīng)永久改變,不會(huì)再回頭。”像路邊取貨和非接觸支付等服務(wù)現(xiàn)在已經(jīng)成為了“入場(chǎng)籌碼”。

雖然許多消費(fèi)者行為可能會(huì)回歸疫情前,但其中一些變化將持續(xù)下去。在大多數(shù)美國(guó)人接種疫苗、疫情緩解之后,《財(cái)富》雜志認(rèn)為以下消費(fèi)趨勢(shì)仍將持續(xù)。

寵物熱

美國(guó)人瘋狂地愛(ài)上了狗(貓也一樣,不過(guò)程度低一點(diǎn)),領(lǐng)養(yǎng)數(shù)量激增,因此推動(dòng)了寵物行業(yè)的發(fā)展。計(jì)劃很快重返股市的Petco表示,上季度銷(xiāo)售額增長(zhǎng)了16%,而Chewy的業(yè)務(wù)增長(zhǎng)了近50%。隨著大批新“寵物父母”的出現(xiàn),只會(huì)加速疫情前寵物擬人化的趨勢(shì),因此,以寵物為導(dǎo)向的消費(fèi)將繼續(xù)增長(zhǎng)。

錢(qián)都花在了家里

今年11月,消費(fèi)者保持了疫情爆發(fā)以來(lái)的消費(fèi)習(xí)慣:減少在時(shí)尚服裝上的支出,增加在家居項(xiàng)目上的支出。有分析人士預(yù)計(jì),房屋價(jià)值將保持穩(wěn)定,未來(lái)即使能夠安全出門(mén)了,也會(huì)有更多美國(guó)人至少有部分時(shí)間在家工作,因此,家裝項(xiàng)目將繼續(xù)快速發(fā)展,勞氏(Lowe’s)和家得寶(Home Depotas)這兩家零售業(yè)大贏家的地位將進(jìn)一步得到穩(wěn)固。

手工制品

Etsy在疫情期間蓬勃發(fā)展,部分原因是銷(xiāo)售了大量口罩(僅第一季度就賣(mài)了1.3億美元);該公司的收入在今年前9個(gè)月翻了一番。這家銷(xiāo)售手工制品的電商網(wǎng)站大力提升了賣(mài)家交付訂單的可靠性,吸引了許多新商家,包括很多在殘酷的經(jīng)濟(jì)衰退期需要補(bǔ)貼家用的人。在這一過(guò)程中,它有效利用了人們文化觀念的重大轉(zhuǎn)變,即許多消費(fèi)者都更青睞不同于大型超市的定制產(chǎn)品。

路邊提貨

這個(gè)詞聽(tīng)起來(lái)似乎是給購(gòu)物者提供的無(wú)聊服務(wù),但在決定今年零售業(yè)輸贏的過(guò)程中,路邊提貨是其中的關(guān)鍵因素。Petco和Ulta Beauty等連鎖店在疫情爆發(fā)前沒(méi)有這種服務(wù),但在春季封鎖零售業(yè)受限的情況下,它們迅速上線提貨服務(wù),很快就看到了好處。現(xiàn)在,購(gòu)物者已經(jīng)習(xí)慣了在線下單的便利,他們?cè)谔嶝洉r(shí)甚至不需要下車(chē)——而且這種方式的速度甚至讓亞馬遜(Amazon)都難以匹敵——預(yù)計(jì)顧客會(huì)把路邊提貨作為他們?nèi)粘Y?gòu)物的常規(guī)組成部分。

休閑舒適成為流行,考究已經(jīng)成為過(guò)去時(shí)

居家辦公把運(yùn)動(dòng)褲變成了工作裝,加深了美國(guó)人衣櫥所謂的“休閑化”。由于白領(lǐng)們無(wú)需關(guān)心職業(yè)著裝——至少無(wú)需關(guān)心下半身的職業(yè)裝,而且需要人們盛裝出席的活動(dòng)越來(lái)越少,2021年的服裝銷(xiāo)量大幅跳水。但也有例外:專(zhuān)營(yíng)運(yùn)動(dòng)裝或休閑裝的零售商。要了解不同企業(yè)的利潤(rùn)差異,只需將Banana Republic、梅西百貨(Macy’s)或諾德斯特龍(Nordstrom)等苦苦掙扎的時(shí)裝零售商的業(yè)績(jī)與Lululemon、Athleta或Old Navy的業(yè)績(jī)進(jìn)行比較。預(yù)計(jì)休閑裝的流行趨勢(shì)將持續(xù)到2021年,因?yàn)槊绹?guó)人的辦公室里不太可能在短期內(nèi)再次人頭攢動(dòng)。

小商家的電子商務(wù)

今年3月,當(dāng)科爾士(Kohl’s)和Old Navy等非必要零售商被要求無(wú)限期關(guān)閉門(mén)店時(shí),它們至少可以求助于大型成熟電商企業(yè)。但對(duì)于不計(jì)其數(shù)的本地小商店來(lái)說(shuō),這是不現(xiàn)實(shí)的。因此,大量此類(lèi)公司轉(zhuǎn)向Shopify路線,快速建立數(shù)字業(yè)務(wù)。Shopify是一家提供運(yùn)營(yíng)電商網(wǎng)站所需技術(shù)的公司。該公司說(shuō),使用其技術(shù)的網(wǎng)站在黑色星期五(Black Friday)和網(wǎng)絡(luò)星期一(Cyber Monday)期間的銷(xiāo)售額增長(zhǎng)了76%,其中很大一部分增長(zhǎng)來(lái)自于新加入線上銷(xiāo)售的公司。

誰(shuí)還需要健身房?

隨著全國(guó)各地的健身房停業(yè)數(shù)周,經(jīng)濟(jì)條件更好的人轉(zhuǎn)而通過(guò)其他方式來(lái)保持體型,Peloton的銷(xiāo)售額因此直線上升。(這家健身自行車(chē)制造商上季度的銷(xiāo)售額增長(zhǎng)了兩倍多。)但也有許多美國(guó)人被更便宜的健身方式吸引,由此引發(fā)了新的騎自行車(chē)和跑步熱潮。現(xiàn)在,在寒冬天氣里,這轉(zhuǎn)化成了滑雪裝備的熱銷(xiāo)。

Zoom一下

盡管我們經(jīng)常談?wù)摗癦oom疲勞”,但視頻會(huì)議已經(jīng)成為人們保持職場(chǎng)和社交聯(lián)系的重要方式。盡管隨著更注重安全的企業(yè)越來(lái)越傾向于使用微軟團(tuán)隊(duì)(Microsoft Teams)和Google Meet等服務(wù),Zoom能否繼續(xù)保持其壓倒性的人氣還有待觀察;但是,隨著視頻會(huì)議技術(shù)的巨大進(jìn)步,而且居家工作可能仍然是大多人的選擇,這種遠(yuǎn)程連接方式在短期內(nèi)不會(huì)消失。

在家舒舒服服看電影

Netflix、HBO Max和類(lèi)似的服務(wù)在疫情期間已經(jīng)成為數(shù)千萬(wàn)美國(guó)人的生命線,讓他們能夠在自己選擇的時(shí)間里隨心煲劇。除非人們懷念那些在電影院看電影時(shí)大聲說(shuō)話或吃東西的觀眾,否則很難看到大批觀眾回到電影院——可能除非是看需要大屏幕的大片。至少有一些好萊塢電影公司似乎在暗示他們認(rèn)同這一觀點(diǎn):華納兄弟(Warner Bros)在本月表示,2021年該公司出品的所有電影將在影院和HBO Max同時(shí)上映。

非接觸式支付

甚至在疫情之前,已經(jīng)有越來(lái)越多的企業(yè)不再使用現(xiàn)金,盡管一些地方政府監(jiān)管機(jī)構(gòu)擔(dān)心這種做法會(huì)剝奪美國(guó)海量“無(wú)銀行賬戶”人口的權(quán)利。但隨著疫情爆發(fā),無(wú)需接觸任何東西就可以進(jìn)行交易——只需要“點(diǎn)擊付費(fèi)”——成為許多商店和餐館的一個(gè)賣(mài)點(diǎn)。到2020年年中,與2019年春季相比,美國(guó)非接觸式支付的使用增加了近兩倍。這種方式的便利性和易用性將使其成為美國(guó)消費(fèi)者付款的固定選項(xiàng)。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))

譯者:Agatha

在持續(xù)不斷的疫情中,閉門(mén)不出的美國(guó)人無(wú)法出游或參加日常社交活動(dòng),他們找到了不同的方法來(lái)擴(kuò)大支出、發(fā)泄精力。

全國(guó)有數(shù)以百萬(wàn)計(jì)的人孤單地想給無(wú)聊的孩子們找個(gè)玩伴,領(lǐng)養(yǎng)的寵物創(chuàng)下了歷史紀(jì)錄。另外一些人覺(jué)得,他們不妨趁機(jī)搞搞家裝,或者在地下室建個(gè)新的家庭辦公室。還有一些人因?yàn)橛霸宏P(guān)門(mén)而加大影音投資,把流媒體搬進(jìn)了家,或者建起了專(zhuān)屬家庭健身房。很多購(gòu)物者發(fā)現(xiàn),他們愛(ài)上了網(wǎng)上下單再去商店取貨而不需要進(jìn)店,也愛(ài)上了付款時(shí)只用手機(jī)而無(wú)需觸摸其他東西。

AlixPartners的一位董事總經(jīng)理索尼婭·拉平斯基向《財(cái)富》雜志表示:“消費(fèi)者的購(gòu)物方式已經(jīng)永久改變,不會(huì)再回頭。”像路邊取貨和非接觸支付等服務(wù)現(xiàn)在已經(jīng)成為了“入場(chǎng)籌碼”。

雖然許多消費(fèi)者行為可能會(huì)回歸疫情前,但其中一些變化將持續(xù)下去。在大多數(shù)美國(guó)人接種疫苗、疫情緩解之后,《財(cái)富》雜志認(rèn)為以下消費(fèi)趨勢(shì)仍將持續(xù)。

寵物熱

美國(guó)人瘋狂地愛(ài)上了狗(貓也一樣,不過(guò)程度低一點(diǎn)),領(lǐng)養(yǎng)數(shù)量激增,因此推動(dòng)了寵物行業(yè)的發(fā)展。計(jì)劃很快重返股市的Petco表示,上季度銷(xiāo)售額增長(zhǎng)了16%,而Chewy的業(yè)務(wù)增長(zhǎng)了近50%。隨著大批新“寵物父母”的出現(xiàn),只會(huì)加速疫情前寵物擬人化的趨勢(shì),因此,以寵物為導(dǎo)向的消費(fèi)將繼續(xù)增長(zhǎng)。

錢(qián)都花在了家里

今年11月,消費(fèi)者保持了疫情爆發(fā)以來(lái)的消費(fèi)習(xí)慣:減少在時(shí)尚服裝上的支出,增加在家居項(xiàng)目上的支出。有分析人士預(yù)計(jì),房屋價(jià)值將保持穩(wěn)定,未來(lái)即使能夠安全出門(mén)了,也會(huì)有更多美國(guó)人至少有部分時(shí)間在家工作,因此,家裝項(xiàng)目將繼續(xù)快速發(fā)展,勞氏(Lowe’s)和家得寶(Home Depotas)這兩家零售業(yè)大贏家的地位將進(jìn)一步得到穩(wěn)固。

手工制品

Etsy在疫情期間蓬勃發(fā)展,部分原因是銷(xiāo)售了大量口罩(僅第一季度就賣(mài)了1.3億美元);該公司的收入在今年前9個(gè)月翻了一番。這家銷(xiāo)售手工制品的電商網(wǎng)站大力提升了賣(mài)家交付訂單的可靠性,吸引了許多新商家,包括很多在殘酷的經(jīng)濟(jì)衰退期需要補(bǔ)貼家用的人。在這一過(guò)程中,它有效利用了人們文化觀念的重大轉(zhuǎn)變,即許多消費(fèi)者都更青睞不同于大型超市的定制產(chǎn)品。

路邊提貨

這個(gè)詞聽(tīng)起來(lái)似乎是給購(gòu)物者提供的無(wú)聊服務(wù),但在決定今年零售業(yè)輸贏的過(guò)程中,路邊提貨是其中的關(guān)鍵因素。Petco和Ulta Beauty等連鎖店在疫情爆發(fā)前沒(méi)有這種服務(wù),但在春季封鎖零售業(yè)受限的情況下,它們迅速上線提貨服務(wù),很快就看到了好處。現(xiàn)在,購(gòu)物者已經(jīng)習(xí)慣了在線下單的便利,他們?cè)谔嶝洉r(shí)甚至不需要下車(chē)——而且這種方式的速度甚至讓亞馬遜(Amazon)都難以匹敵——預(yù)計(jì)顧客會(huì)把路邊提貨作為他們?nèi)粘Y?gòu)物的常規(guī)組成部分。

休閑舒適成為流行,考究已經(jīng)成為過(guò)去時(shí)

居家辦公把運(yùn)動(dòng)褲變成了工作裝,加深了美國(guó)人衣櫥所謂的“休閑化”。由于白領(lǐng)們無(wú)需關(guān)心職業(yè)著裝——至少無(wú)需關(guān)心下半身的職業(yè)裝,而且需要人們盛裝出席的活動(dòng)越來(lái)越少,2021年的服裝銷(xiāo)量大幅跳水。但也有例外:專(zhuān)營(yíng)運(yùn)動(dòng)裝或休閑裝的零售商。要了解不同企業(yè)的利潤(rùn)差異,只需將Banana Republic、梅西百貨(Macy’s)或諾德斯特龍(Nordstrom)等苦苦掙扎的時(shí)裝零售商的業(yè)績(jī)與Lululemon、Athleta或Old Navy的業(yè)績(jī)進(jìn)行比較。預(yù)計(jì)休閑裝的流行趨勢(shì)將持續(xù)到2021年,因?yàn)槊绹?guó)人的辦公室里不太可能在短期內(nèi)再次人頭攢動(dòng)。

小商家的電子商務(wù)

今年3月,當(dāng)科爾士(Kohl’s)和Old Navy等非必要零售商被要求無(wú)限期關(guān)閉門(mén)店時(shí),它們至少可以求助于大型成熟電商企業(yè)。但對(duì)于不計(jì)其數(shù)的本地小商店來(lái)說(shuō),這是不現(xiàn)實(shí)的。因此,大量此類(lèi)公司轉(zhuǎn)向Shopify路線,快速建立數(shù)字業(yè)務(wù)。Shopify是一家提供運(yùn)營(yíng)電商網(wǎng)站所需技術(shù)的公司。該公司說(shuō),使用其技術(shù)的網(wǎng)站在黑色星期五(Black Friday)和網(wǎng)絡(luò)星期一(Cyber Monday)期間的銷(xiāo)售額增長(zhǎng)了76%,其中很大一部分增長(zhǎng)來(lái)自于新加入線上銷(xiāo)售的公司。

誰(shuí)還需要健身房?

隨著全國(guó)各地的健身房停業(yè)數(shù)周,經(jīng)濟(jì)條件更好的人轉(zhuǎn)而通過(guò)其他方式來(lái)保持體型,Peloton的銷(xiāo)售額因此直線上升。(這家健身自行車(chē)制造商上季度的銷(xiāo)售額增長(zhǎng)了兩倍多。)但也有許多美國(guó)人被更便宜的健身方式吸引,由此引發(fā)了新的騎自行車(chē)和跑步熱潮。現(xiàn)在,在寒冬天氣里,這轉(zhuǎn)化成了滑雪裝備的熱銷(xiāo)。

Zoom一下

盡管我們經(jīng)常談?wù)摗癦oom疲勞”,但視頻會(huì)議已經(jīng)成為人們保持職場(chǎng)和社交聯(lián)系的重要方式。盡管隨著更注重安全的企業(yè)越來(lái)越傾向于使用微軟團(tuán)隊(duì)(Microsoft Teams)和Google Meet等服務(wù),Zoom能否繼續(xù)保持其壓倒性的人氣還有待觀察;但是,隨著視頻會(huì)議技術(shù)的巨大進(jìn)步,而且居家工作可能仍然是大多人的選擇,這種遠(yuǎn)程連接方式在短期內(nèi)不會(huì)消失。

在家舒舒服服看電影

Netflix、HBO Max和類(lèi)似的服務(wù)在疫情期間已經(jīng)成為數(shù)千萬(wàn)美國(guó)人的生命線,讓他們能夠在自己選擇的時(shí)間里隨心煲劇。除非人們懷念那些在電影院看電影時(shí)大聲說(shuō)話或吃東西的觀眾,否則很難看到大批觀眾回到電影院——可能除非是看需要大屏幕的大片。至少有一些好萊塢電影公司似乎在暗示他們認(rèn)同這一觀點(diǎn):華納兄弟(Warner Bros)在本月表示,2021年該公司出品的所有電影將在影院和HBO Max同時(shí)上映。

非接觸式支付

甚至在疫情之前,已經(jīng)有越來(lái)越多的企業(yè)不再使用現(xiàn)金,盡管一些地方政府監(jiān)管機(jī)構(gòu)擔(dān)心這種做法會(huì)剝奪美國(guó)海量“無(wú)銀行賬戶”人口的權(quán)利。但隨著疫情爆發(fā),無(wú)需接觸任何東西就可以進(jìn)行交易——只需要“點(diǎn)擊付費(fèi)”——成為許多商店和餐館的一個(gè)賣(mài)點(diǎn)。到2020年年中,與2019年春季相比,美國(guó)非接觸式支付的使用增加了近兩倍。這種方式的便利性和易用性將使其成為美國(guó)消費(fèi)者付款的固定選項(xiàng)。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))

譯者:Agatha

As Americans have hunkered down amid the continuing pandemic, the unable to engage in travel or their usual social activities, they've sought different outlets for their energies, and by extension, their spending.

Millions people across the country, lonely looking to occupy bored kids, adopted pets in record numbers. Others figured they might as well fix their roof or set up a new home office in their basement. Another cadre of people doubled down on streaming entertainment into their home while theaters were closed, or set up their own home gyms. Legions of shoppers discovered they are happy to go to a store to pick up an online order without having to go inside, or pay without having to touch anything other than their own phone.

"The way consumers want to shop has permanently shifted, and it's not going back," Sonia Lapinsky, a managing director at AlixPartners, tells Fortune. Services like curbside pickup and contactless payment are now "table stakes."

While a lot of consumer behavior could revert to what it was pre-COVID, some of these shifts are here to stay. Here are some of the consumer trends Fortune thinks will endure after most Americans are vaccinated and the pandemic has eased.

Puppy love

Americans have gone wild for dogs (and, to a lesser extent, cats), leading to a surge in adoptions that has fueled the pet industry. Petco, which aims to return to the stock market soon, said sales were up 16% last quarter, while Chewy saw business spike by nearly 50%. The legions of new 'pet parents' will only accelerate the pre-pandemic trend toward the humanization of pets, so expect the rise of fido-oriented to spending to continue.

Home is where the spending is

In November, consumers did what they've been doing since the pandemic broke out: spending less on fashionable clothing—but much more on home projects. With analysts expecting home values to hold steady, and more Americans working from home at least part of the time even once it's safe to venture out into the world again, home improvement projects will continue apace and solidify Lowe's and Home Depotas two of retail's biggest winners.

Handmade crafts

Etsy has thrived during the pandemic, partly by selling enormous quantities of face masks ($130 million-worth in the first quarter alone); the company's revenue doubled in the first nine months of the year. The handmade goods e-commerce site, which has made big strides in improving the reliability of its sellers' delivery of orders, has attracted many new entrepreneurs, including more than a few needing to supplement their incomes during a brutal recession. Along the way, it has tapped into a significant cultural shift that is seeing many consumers seeking more customized products than what they can find at big-box stores.

Curbside pickup

It might seem like pedestrian service for shoppers, but curbside pickup has made all the difference in determining retail's winners and losers are this year. Chains like Petco and Ulta Beauty that didn't offer the service before the pandemic but quickly stood it up as spring lockdowns limited retail options immediately saw the benefit. And now that shoppers have gotten used to the convenience of retrieving online orders in a way that doesn't even require them to leave their car—and with a speed that makes it hard for even Amazon to compete—expect customers to make curbside a regular part of how they shop.

Casual and cozy are in, dressy is out

Work from home turned sweatpants into office wear and deepened the so-called "casualization" of the American wardrobe. With workers not so concerned about professional attire—at least from the waist down—and fewer events for people to get fancy for, 2021 saw overall apparel sales plummet. The exception to the rule: retailers specializing in athletic wear or casual clothing. To see that schism playing out in companies' bottom lines, just compare the results of struggling fashion retailers like Banana Republic, Macy's or Nordstrom with those of those of Lululemon Athleta or Old Navy. Expect the trend toward casual wear to continue into 2021, with American offices unlikely to be teeming with people again anytime soon.

E-commerce for the little guy

In March, as non-essential retailers like Kohl's and Old Navy were ordered to close stores indefinitely, they were least able to fall back on big and established e-commerce businesses. Not so for countless small local stores. That has led to a surge in such companies going the Shopify route to quickly build a digital business. Shopify, which provides the tech needed to operate an e-commerce site, said sales on websites using its technology rose 76% over the Black Friday-Cyber Monday period—with much of that growth fueled by companies new to online selling.

Who needs a gym?

Peloton's sales skyrocketed as gyms closed for weeks nationwide and the more affluent sought other ways to stay in shape. (The stationary bike maker's sales more than tripled last quarter.) But many Americans also gravitated toward less expensive means of staying fit, creating a new cycling and running boom. That has now translated into surge in ski equipment sales for the colder months.

Zooming in

As much as we talk about "Zoom fatigue," videoconferencing has been an essential way for people to stay connected, professionally and socially. It remains to be seen whether Zoom itself will maintain its overwhelming popularity as security-minded corporations are increasingly gravitating toward services like Microsoft Teams and Google Meet. But with videoconferencing technology vastly improved and work-from-home likely to remain a popular option, this way of remotely connected isn't going away any time soon.

Movies from the comfort of home

Netflix, HBO Max, and similar services have become a lifeline for tens of millions of Americans during the pandemic, allowing them to binge watch programs at a time of their choosing. Unless people miss audience members talking or eating loudly during a movie, it's hard to see viewers reverting en masse to movie houses—with the likely exception of seeing blockbuster movies that demand the big screen. And at least some of the Hollywood studios seem to be signaling that they agree: Warner Bros said this month it would release all of its 2021 movies in theaters and on HBO Max simultaneously.

Contactless payment

Even before the pandemic, more and more businesses were going cashless, despite misgivings from some local government regulators that this excludes America's sizable "unbanked" population. But with COVID-19, the ability to conduct a transaction without touching anything—via 'tap-and-pay'—became a selling point for many stores and restaurants. By mid-2020, the use of contactless payment had nearly tripled in the U.S. compared to spring 2019. The convenience and ease of this touch-free option will make it a fixture in U.S. consumer spending.

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