????埃菲爾鐵塔、巴黎圣母院和塞納河向來(lái)是巴黎明信片的經(jīng)典背景，但經(jīng)歷了上周的恐怖襲擊事件之后，現(xiàn)在一提起這座時(shí)尚之都，人們恐怕首先會(huì)想到槍擊、搜捕和劫持人質(zhì)的畫面。

????法國(guó)的旅游業(yè)也許將成為恐怖事件的另一個(gè)受害者。一如幾乎所有引人注目的恐怖襲擊爆發(fā)后的情形，一些潛在游客可能會(huì)望而卻步。

????專門研究旅行、旅游業(yè)和旅游服務(wù)的Phocuswright公司研究主管盧克?布加爾斯基表示：“法國(guó)的旅游業(yè)將面臨巨大考驗(yàn)。”

????法國(guó)是美國(guó)游客的主要目的地之一。美國(guó)商務(wù)部的報(bào)告顯示，在2013年赴歐旅行的美國(guó)人中，有19.9%前往法國(guó)，僅次于赴英國(guó)旅行的游客比重（26.3%）。

????根據(jù)世界銀行和法國(guó)外交事務(wù)和國(guó)際發(fā)展部的數(shù)據(jù)，法國(guó)國(guó)內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值中有7%來(lái)自旅游業(yè)，游客每年在法國(guó)的消費(fèi)額高達(dá)近2,000億美元。

????英國(guó)《每日電訊報(bào)》報(bào)道稱，2013年前往法國(guó)的旅客數(shù)量是8,470萬(wàn)人，多于前往美國(guó)的游客（6,980萬(wàn)人）。

????目前還不清楚這場(chǎng)恐怖襲擊究竟會(huì)給法國(guó)旅游業(yè)帶來(lái)多大影響。在這次恐怖襲擊中，諷刺雜志《查理周刊》的多名員工慘遭殺害，此外，在追捕和擊斃主要犯罪嫌疑人及其同伙的過(guò)程中，還有數(shù)名人質(zhì)遇害。法國(guó)的安全形象顯然受到了影響。旅行社和業(yè)內(nèi)分析人士預(yù)計(jì)，一些人會(huì)取消赴法行程，或在今年的旅行清單上把法國(guó)劃去。

????布加爾斯基指出，法國(guó)政府提升安全級(jí)別，也許會(huì)讓游客難以享受旅行的樂(lè)趣。博物館等人氣場(chǎng)所幾乎都會(huì)配備額外警力，遭到更嚴(yán)密的監(jiān)視。他表示，這也許會(huì)導(dǎo)致更加嚴(yán)重的“擁擠”和“不便”，導(dǎo)致去法國(guó)的游客失去興致。

????美國(guó)旅行社協(xié)會(huì)主管勞拉?羅德里格斯對(duì)《財(cái)富》表示，游客若前往擁有暴力記錄的地區(qū)，應(yīng)當(dāng)做好安全措施，聽(tīng)從導(dǎo)游人員的指導(dǎo)。她還說(shuō)，游客應(yīng)當(dāng)警惕周圍的環(huán)境，并購(gòu)買旅行保險(xiǎn)，這樣就可以在遭遇危險(xiǎn)事件而被迫取消行程時(shí)獲得補(bǔ)償。

????羅德里格斯還是菲尼克斯市Marina Tours and Travel的老板，這是一家專門經(jīng)營(yíng)赴法團(tuán)體游的旅游公司。她說(shuō)，她不希望這樣一番言論嚇到自己的顧客。

????羅德里格斯說(shuō)：“這類事件在全世界任何一個(gè)地方都可能發(fā)生。讓我們祈禱它們不會(huì)再次發(fā)生吧?！?/p>

????全球商務(wù)旅行協(xié)會(huì)常務(wù)董事麥克?麥考密克解釋稱，9/11事件給各大公司敲醒了“警鐘”，促使他們更加重視赴海外出差員工的安全狀況。

????全球商務(wù)旅行協(xié)會(huì)的報(bào)告顯示，2013年，商務(wù)旅行者的法國(guó)之行共花費(fèi)了350億美元，這是該指標(biāo)連續(xù)第三年下降。但該協(xié)會(huì)預(yù)計(jì)，2014年的商務(wù)旅行花銷將會(huì)再次增長(zhǎng)，達(dá)到370億美元。

????麥考密克特別談到了恐怖襲擊對(duì)歐洲和法國(guó)商業(yè)旅行的影響：“我估計(jì)情況不會(huì)有多大改變。當(dāng)然，這種局勢(shì)對(duì)休閑旅行的影響會(huì)稍大一些。”

????他繼續(xù)說(shuō)道：“但我認(rèn)為還發(fā)生了另一件事，那就是法國(guó)現(xiàn)在獲得了以前沒(méi)有的抗壓性和警覺(jué)性。我們現(xiàn)在非常關(guān)注世界每個(gè)角落發(fā)生的事情。我認(rèn)為，人們已經(jīng)對(duì)目前的局勢(shì)有了更深入的理解。”（財(cái)富中文網(wǎng)）

????譯者：嚴(yán)匡正

????審校：任文科

????Images of shootings, manhunts and hostage stand-offs in Paris this week replaced the usual picture postcard views of the Eiffel Tower, Notre Dame Cathedral and the Seine.

????France’s tourism industry may be another victim. As is the case following almost all high-profile terrorist attacks, some would-be visitors may stay clear.

????“There’s a lot at stake,” said Luke Bujarski, the director of research at Phocuswright, a firm that specializes in research about travel, tourism and hospitality.

????France is a prime destination for U.S. travelers. The country accounted for 19.9% of all American trips to Europe in 2013, second only to the United Kingdom with 26.3%, according to a Commerce Department report.

????Tourism generates around 7% of France’s gross domestic product, or nearly $200 billion in spending annually, based on data from the World Bank and the French foreign affairs and international development ministry.

????More people visited France in 2013 – 84.7 million – than the United States, which had 69.8 million visitors, The Telegraph said.

????How much of an impact there will be is unclear. The attacks – which included a dozen murdered at the Charlie Hebdo satirical magazine along with several hostages killed during raids that left the chief suspects and an ally dead – certainly tarnished the country’s image for safety. Travel agents and analysts expect that some people will cancel trips to France or check the country off their list this year.

????Bujarski pointed out that ramped up security by the French government may make it more difficult for tourists to enjoy the country. High-profile locations such as museums are almost guaranteed to get extra police and tougher screening. The result may be more “congestion” and “inconvenience” that’s off-putting to those who visit France in the future, he said.

????Laura Rodriguez, a director with American Society of Travel Agents, told Fortune that visitors to regions with a history of violence should take safety precautions and make use of the expertise of tour guides. She added that travelers should stay aware of their surroundings and buy travel insurance so they can be reimbursed if they have to cancel their trip because of dangerous events on the ground.

????Rodriguez, who is also owner of Marina Tours and Travel in Phoenix, which specializes in tour group vacations to France, said she wouldn’t want to scare her customers.

????“Things like this could happen in any part of the world,” she said. “And let us hope things don’t happen again.”

????Mike McCormick, the executive director of the Global Business Travel Association, which represents the corporate travel industry, explained that businesses post-9/11 have had a “wake-up call” in terms of how protective they are of employees who travel abroad.

????In 2013, business travelers spent $35 billion dollars on travel in France, marking three years of negative growth, according to a Global Business Travel Association report. But it said corporate travel spending was expected to start rising again, to $37 billion in 2014.

????“My expectation is that largely it would be the same,” McCormick said about the attacks’ impact on business travel to Europe and France, specifically. “Leisure tends to be a little more reactive to situations, for sure.”

????He continued: “But the other thing that I think that has happened is there’s a resilence and awareness that wasn’t there before. Ultimately, we are very aware now of happenings in every part of the world. I think there’s just much more of an understanding.”