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管理新知:單身CEO愛冒險
 作者: Stephen Gandel    時間: 2012年03月22日    來源: 財富中文網
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根據美國國家經濟研究局的一項最新研究,今后人們在決定是否要投資一家公司前,或許可以先查一下首席執行官的婚姻狀況。
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規避風險?

????這項最新研究可能會讓人們看著美國企業界再次直撓頭。上周,美國國家經濟研究局(National Bureau of Economic Research)發布的一項工作報告認為,由單身CEO管理的公司其股票風險高于那些由已婚CEO管理的公司。

????這項研究由賓夕法尼亞大學沃頓商學院(University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School)的兩位教授進行,調查了1,500家公司及其首席執行官的婚姻狀況。兩位教授發現,由單身CEO和已婚CEO經營的公司在公司行為上確實存在差異。單身CEO管理的公司往往會投入更多的錢在研發、收購和其他能夠更快擴大業務規模的投資上,但失敗的概率也更高。結果是股價的波動性更大。

????單身CEO為什么更喜歡冒險?對此,這項研究報告《管理者的婚姻狀態和風險觀》(Status, Marriage and Managers' Attitudes to Risk)有些語焉不詳。兩位合著者尼克萊?羅薩諾夫和帕維爾?薩瓦認為,它肯定與約會有關。單身者愿意承擔更多風險,提高“配偶質量”。羅薩諾夫稱:“即便是在CEO中間,相對地位在婚姻中似乎也很重要。”羅薩諾夫稱,有可能選擇單身者天性更愛冒險,但他認為這不是答案。他不認為他的統計結果受到了科技公司的影響,科技公司往往有更多的研發投入以及更年輕的CEO。他說,各個行業和地區的CEO都驗證了相同的調查結果,雖然不同地區的離婚法可能增加了在一些地區提出婚姻的風險(如果有人希望保護自己的財富的話)。

????羅薩諾夫以甲骨文(Oracle)的拉里?埃里森和微軟(Microsoft)的史蒂夫?鮑爾默為例。埃里森在其職業生涯中很多時候都處于單身狀態(羅薩諾夫稱:“他離婚又結婚,結婚又離婚,反復過好幾次。”),他進行了眾多大規模收購,性格好斗。而鮑爾默在其職業生涯中大多數時候都是已婚狀態,外界對他的批評則是他沒有把微軟龐大的現金儲備多花掉一點。

????總體而言,此次調查的公司中有約20%由單身CEO管理。羅薩諾夫無法說明單身女性CEO和單身男性CEO之間有無差別。因為女性CEO的樣本數量不夠多,缺乏統計意義。

????那么,這個調查的意義何在?首先要問問為何兩位沃頓教授關心起了CEO們的約會生活或婚姻生活。羅薩諾夫稱,這個問題涉及CEO對公司的影響力大小,而這一點牽涉到CEO是否薪酬過高之爭。羅薩諾夫稱,他的研究顯示,CEO們、或者更具體的說他們的私人生活(對公司)確實有影響,影響可能還有點過大。董事會本應發揮作用,減少CEO由于正在追求一位或性感、或智慧的配偶所導致的公司冒險行為。但顯然,董事會并沒有做到這一點。

????譯者:老榆木

????Here's another study that will make you scratch your head about corporate America. A working paper released this week by the National Bureau of Economic Research finds that the stocks of companies with chief executives who are single are riskier than the shares of companies run by CEOs who are hitched.

????The study, which was conducted by two professors at University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School, looked at 1500 companies and the marital status of the companies' CEOs. The professors found a real difference in the behavior of companies run by CEOs who are single and those run by married top executives. The companies with an unmarried CEO tended to spend more money on things like R&D, acquisitions and other investments that could more rapidly increase the size of their businesses, but also had a higher chance of blowing up. The result was a more volatile stock price.

????Why are single CEOs more risk-prone? Here's where the study, which is titled Status, Marriage and Managers' Attitudes to Risk, gets a little dicey. Co-authors Nikolai Roussanov and Pavel Savor argue that it has to do with dating. Single individuals will take on more risk to increase "spouse quality." Says Roussanov, "Even among CEOs, relative position seems to matter in the marriage market." Roussanov says it is possible that people who chose to be single are just risk-takers by nature, but he doesn't think that is the answer. Nor did he think his results were skewed by the fact that technology companies tend to make more R&D investments and have younger CEOs. He said the results he found where the same across industries and the same no matter where the CEO lived, despite different divorce laws which could make marriage, if you are trying to protect your wealth, a riskier proposition.

????Roussanov pointed to Larry Ellison of Oracle (ORCL) and Steve Ballmer of Microsoft (MSFT) as examples. Ellison, who has been single many times in his career ("He's made the round trip transaction a few times," says Roussanov.), has completed a number of large acquisitions in his career and been combative with competitors, Roussanov says. Balmer, who has been married for much of his career, has been criticized for not spending more of Microsoft's large cash hoard.

????In all, about 20% of the companies they looked at had single CEOs. Roussanov couldn't say whether there was a difference in behavior between single women CEOs and single male CEOs. There wasn't enough women CEOs for the results to be statistically significant.

????So what to make of all this? One good question is why two Wharton professors are venturing into the dating, or not dating, lives of CEOs. Roussanov says the issue has to do with how much influence a CEO has on the company. That plays into the debate about whether CEOs are overpaid. Roussanov says his research suggests that CEOs, and more specifically their private lives, do matter, perhaps a little too much. Boards should be able to mitigate any corporate risk taking made solely because the CEO is trying to get a hotter or smarter spouse. Apparently they are not.







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最佳評論

@關子臨: 自信也許會壓倒聰明,演技的好壞也許會壓倒腦力的強弱,好領導就是循循善誘的人,不獨裁,而有見地,能讓人心悅誠服。    參加討論>>
@DuoDuopa:彼得原理,是美國學者勞倫斯彼得在對組織中人員晉升的相關現象研究后得出的一個結論:在各種組織中,由于習慣于對在某個等級上稱職的人員進行晉升提拔,因而雇員總是趨向于晉升到其不稱職的地位。    參加討論>>
@Bruce的森林:正念,應該可以解釋為專注當下的事情,而不去想過去這件事是怎么做的,這件事將來會怎樣。一方面,這種理念可以幫助員工排除雜念,把注意力集中在工作本身,減少壓力,提高創造力。另一方面,這不失為提高員工工作效率的好方法。可能后者是各大BOSS們更看重的吧。    參加討論>>


Copyright ? 2012財富出版社有限公司。 版權所有,未經書面許可,任何機構不得全部或部分轉載。
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